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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-24 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,617.07 (+3.6%) | 8.6 | 3.9% | 5h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 3% ±8 | 24% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 5% ±17 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,565.36–7,577.92 (+2.9%) | 6.9 | 10.9% | 15h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 3% ±7 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 30% ±11 | 68 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 8% ±20 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | 0.49% | 0.22% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,513.59 (+2.2%) | 5.3 | 9.1% | 15h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 4% ±9 | 24% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 85 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 16% ±26 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | 0.40% | 0.18% | 135 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 7,496.17 (+2.0%) | 4.7 | 5.2% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 51× | 8% ±12 | 35% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 18% ±28 | 60% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.50% | 0.26% | 124 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 7,474.37 (+1.7%) | 4.0 | 4.5% | 6h | 4.9d ago · 78× | 17% ±18 | 30% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 33% ±11 | 73 | 1% ±2 | 17% ±18 | 34% ±38 | 66% ±66 | 5.0d | 0.52% | 0.33% | 104 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,402.56–7,414.05 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 5.5% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 46% ±21 | 29% ±11 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 20% ±7 | 46% ±21 | 61% ±36 | 79% ±46 | 1.9d | 0.56% | 0.42% | 132 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,401.6–7,421.71 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 5.5% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 49× | 48% ±35 | 26% ±14 | 35% ±15 | 39% ±15 | 39 | 23% ±11 | 48% ±33 | 67% ±53 | 87% | 1.6d | 0.54% | 0.53% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,350.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,291.48–7,302.97 (-0.6%) | 1.5 | 2.0% | 3h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 43% ±22 | 30% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 30% ±8 | 44% ±22 | 59% ±36 | 78% ±47 | 2.0d | 0.51% | 0.37% | 121 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,350.28 | 7,244.48 | 7,474.37 | expired | -0.14% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 7,350.28 | 7,173.96 | 7,496.17 | expired | -0.14% |