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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-06-25 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.20) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,617.07 (+3.5%) | 7.0 | 4.5% | 6h | 7.1d ago · 49× | 4% ±8 | 24% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 7% ±17 | 33% ±46 | > 7d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 149 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 7,565.36–7,577.92 (+2.8%) | 5.6 | 11.9% | 17h | 5.1d ago · 66× | 4% ±8 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 30% ±11 | 68 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 13% ±22 | 36% ±47 | > 7d | 0.49% | 0.22% | 165 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 7,510.5 (+2.0%) | 4.1 | 8.2% | 14h | 5.1d ago · 51× | 9% ±12 | 35% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±12 | 20% ±28 | 62% ±55 | 5.9d | 0.50% | 0.26% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,472.19 (+1.5%) | 3.1 | 4.9% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 71× | 18% ±14 | 24% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 85 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±14 | 33% ±29 | 61% ±48 | 6.0d | 0.40% | 0.18% | 172 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,448.53–7,452.36 (+1.2%) | 2.4 | 2.5% | 4h | 20.9d ago · 30× | 36% ±33 | 30% ±17 | 3% ±7 | 67% ±18 | 27 | 17% ±11 | 36% ±33 | 57% ±56 | 83% | 2.0d | 0.37% | 0.62% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,402.37–7,410.22 (+0.6%) | 1.1 | 6.4% | 9h | 6.1d ago · 44× | 65% ±27 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±16 | 36% ±15 | 37 | 41% ±11 | 66% ±26 | 77% ±41 | 89% ±44 | 12h | 0.60% | 0.51% | 75 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 7,369.96 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.5% | 8h | 5.1d ago · 78× | 72% ±20 | 30% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 33% ±11 | 73 | 58% ±9 | 72% ±20 | 83% ±28 | 91% ±32 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.33% | 120 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,368.09–7,371.92 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.5% | 8h | 5.1d ago · 65× | 74% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 58% ±9 | 74% ±19 | 83% ±28 | 89% ±35 | 2h | 0.56% | 0.42% | 124 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,360.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,306.8–7,337.44 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 2.5% | 3h | 14.0d ago · 54× | 69% ±22 | 30% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 54% ±9 | 69% ±21 | 77% ±34 | 90% ±35 | 3h | 0.51% | 0.37% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,323.5 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.8d ago · 67× | 74% ±16 | 23% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 71 | 48% ±8 | 74% ±16 | 81% ±26 | 91% ±28 | 18h | 0.57% | 0.51% | 169 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 7,360.66 | 7,323.5 | 7,472.19 | target | -0.20% |