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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-02 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HVN zone | 7,559.61–7,567.27 (+0.7%) | 2.1 | 4.6% | 7h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 36% ±22 | 29% ±11 | 32% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 63 | 11% ±6 | 36% ±22 | 51% ±40 | 74% ±50 | 3.0d | 0.55% | 0.42% | 110 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,525.14–7,532.8 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.8% | 4h | 20.7d ago · 30× | 73% ±27 | 30% ±17 | 3% ±7 | 67% ±18 | 27 | 46% ±12 | 75% ±26 | 88% ±32 | 94% ±33 | 18h | 0.37% | 0.62% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,523.49–7,525.14 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 2.2% | 5h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 71% ±15 | 27% ±9 | 44% ±10 | 29% ±10 | 86 | 51% ±7 | 71% ±15 | 82% ±23 | 89% ±28 | 4h | 0.44% | 0.20% | 205 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,507.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,495.13–7,497.6 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 8.1% | 11h | 4.6d ago · 75× | 73% ±19 | 26% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 36% ±11 | 75 | 55% ±8 | 73% ±19 | 86% ±26 | 91% ±32 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.32% | 132 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,425.54–7,437.04 (-0.9%) | 2.9 | 4.8% | 7h | 4.8d ago · 62× | 26% ±19 | 29% ±10 | 22% ±9 | 49% ±11 | 74 | 10% ±5 | 26% ±19 | 41% ±36 | 62% ±55 | 5.2d | 0.47% | 0.47% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,370.62–7,378.01 (-1.7%) | 5.3 | 5.0% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 9% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 38% ±11 | 72 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 30% ±26 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 0.60% | 0.48% | 207 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,337.44 (-2.3%) | 7.0 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 41× | 7% ±10 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 19% ±25 | 27% ±44 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 167 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,306.8–7,333.61 (-2.3%) | 7.1 | 1.4% | 2h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 16% ±19 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 5% ±5 | 16% ±19 | 33% ±41 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 92 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,507.54 | 7,523.49 | 7,370.62 | expired | -0.40% |
| 14d | POC | long | 7,507.54 | 7,523.49 | 7,378.01 | expired | -0.40% |
| 30d | POC | long | 7,507.54 | 7,525.14 | 7,337.44 | expired | -0.40% |