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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-06 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 7,537.11–7,540.51 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.0% | 3h | 20.8d ago · 30× | 81% ±26 | 34% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 63% ±18 | 29 | 52% ±13 | 81% ±26 | 93% ±29 | 97% | 3h | 0.43% | 0.61% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,526.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,522.47–7,523.51 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 5h | 4.9d ago · 52× | 78% ±23 | 19% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 35% ±13 | 50 | 61% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 86% ±34 | 91% ±40 | 2h | 0.40% | 0.26% | 71 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,475.9–7,513.31 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 5.5% | 8h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 75% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 23% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 75 | 55% ±8 | 75% ±17 | 87% ±23 | 90% ±29 | 2h | 0.47% | 0.46% | 150 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,494.6–7,498.85 (-0.4%) | 1.1 | 9.6% | 11h | 4.8d ago · 75× | 56% ±19 | 26% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 76 | 37% ±8 | 56% ±19 | 77% ±29 | 84% ±36 | 22h | 0.51% | 0.34% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,446.29 (-1.1%) | 3.1 | 3.3% | 5h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 20% ±13 | 23% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 72 | 8% ±4 | 20% ±13 | 39% ±29 | 63% ±42 | 5.0d | 0.58% | 0.51% | 203 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,378.01 (-2.0%) | 5.8 | 5.7% | 8h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 12% ±12 | 26% ±12 | 36% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 32% ±29 | 44% ±49 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 171 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,360.28 (-2.2%) | 6.4 | 7.1% | 8h | 6.0d ago · 41× | 9% ±11 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±3 | 9% ±11 | 22% ±27 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 158 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,312.67–7,333.07 (-2.6%) | 7.5 | 1.7% | 2h | 13.9d ago · 54× | 14% ±18 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 5% ±5 | 14% ±18 | 29% ±40 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 91 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,526.31 | 7,602.49 | 7,498.85 | stop | -0.44% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,526.31 | 7,671.79 | 7,495.13 | stop | -0.44% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 7,526.31 | 7,689.54 | 7,494.6 | stop | -0.44% |