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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-10 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,552.27 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.4% | 4h | 6.9d ago · 49× | 91% ±14 | 27% ±12 | 43% ±13 | 30% ±12 | 53 | 69% ±10 | 91% ±14 | 95% ±20 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 0.43% | 0.23% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 7,552.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 7,551.07–7,551.67 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.5% | 4h | 4.9d ago · 52× | 77% ±25 | 21% ±11 | 43% ±14 | 36% ±13 | 51 | 61% ±12 | 77% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 0.41% | 0.23% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,533.04–7,545.86 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.6% | 7h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 78% ±17 | 28% ±10 | 24% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 77 | 59% ±8 | 77% ±17 | 89% ±22 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 0.47% | 0.46% | 139 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 7,535.79 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 6.0% | 10h | 6.9d ago · 75× | 64% ±18 | 28% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 35% ±11 | 77 | 47% ±8 | 64% ±18 | 83% ±25 | 91% ±29 | 18h | 0.46% | 0.28% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 7,489.51–7,496.17 (-0.7%) | 2.4 | 9.9% | 13h | 4.7d ago · 67× | 25% ±15 | 23% ±10 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 73 | 9% ±4 | 25% ±15 | 46% ±29 | 64% ±42 | 4.1d | 0.55% | 0.45% | 194 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,446.6 (-1.4%) | 4.6 | 2.4% | 3h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 14% ±13 | 26% ±12 | 36% ±13 | 38% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±13 | 35% ±30 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 175 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,388.77 (-2.2%) | 7.1 | 3.1% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 7% ±9 | 19% ±12 | 45% ±15 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±2 | 7% ±9 | 17% ±23 | 25% ±42 | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.56% | 179 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 7,305.42–7,334.27 (-2.9%) | 9.5 | 1.1% | 1h | 13.8d ago · 54× | 10% ±16 | 28% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 5% ±5 | 10% ±16 | 20% ±39 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 80 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 7,552.12 | 7,614.28 | 7,535.79 | stop | +0.31% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,552.12 | 7,656.59 | 7,494.39 | expired | +0.31% |