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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-07-23 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,567.64–7,575.75 (+1.9%) | 6.2 | 3.7% | 6h | 4.8d ago · 66× | 4% ±7 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±11 | 28% ±10 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 10% ±19 | 32% ±46 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.20% | 172 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,526.87 (+1.4%) | 4.5 | 5.1% | 8h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 6% ±9 | 24% ±9 | 45% ±10 | 31% ±9 | 91 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 16% ±24 | 52% ±49 | 7.0d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 170 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,496.6–7,507.86 (+1.0%) | 3.2 | 9.5% | 12h | 4.8d ago · 78× | 15% ±14 | 30% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 32% ±10 | 77 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±14 | 30% ±32 | 63% ±47 | 4.9d | 0.52% | 0.32% | 152 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,478.06–7,526.91 (+0.7%) | 2.4 | 5.9% | 9h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 34% ±21 | 27% ±11 | 31% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 9% ±5 | 35% ±21 | 48% ±37 | 70% ±52 | 3.8d | 0.53% | 0.41% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,465.12 (+0.6%) | 1.8 | 4.2% | 7h | 5.7d ago · 49× | 48% ±31 | 31% ±14 | 31% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 42 | 27% ±11 | 48% ±31 | 68% ±53 | 97% | 1.0d | 0.47% | 0.42% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,446.46 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 3.0% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 32× | 59% ±32 | 29% ±18 | 29% ±18 | 43% ±19 | 25 | 39% ±13 | 59% ±32 | 68% ±53 | 82% | 21h | 0.59% | 0.59% | 54 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,422.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,391.87–7,397.62 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 2.4% | 4h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 60% ±21 | 31% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 59 | 46% ±8 | 60% ±21 | 71% ±34 | 86% ±39 | 18h | 0.58% | 0.36% | 134 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 7,422.96 | 7,361.21 | 7,506.55 | expired | +0.09% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 7,422.96 | 7,351.92 | 7,507.86 | expired | +0.09% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 7,422.96 | 7,293.67 | 7,505.36 | expired | +0.09% |