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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-27 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,791.56 (+0.7%) | 3.4 | 1.9% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 11% ±10 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±25 | 53% ±44 | 6.8d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 226 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,776.48–7,791.56 (+0.5%) | 2.5 | 2.3% | 4h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 36% ±20 | 31% ±10 | 32% ±11 | 37% ±11 | 75 | 9% ±5 | 37% ±19 | 52% ±35 | 75% ±49 | 3.0d | 0.55% | 0.36% | 141 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 7,753.85 (+0.2%) | 1.1 | 8.4% | 13h | 4.8d ago · 46× | 57% ±22 | 25% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 34% ±13 | 50 | 38% ±9 | 57% ±22 | 75% ±34 | 85% ±41 | 18h | 0.45% | 0.30% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,735.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,730.96 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 4.6% | 5h | 12.8d ago · 40× | 74% ±26 | 17% ±12 | 48% ±16 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 61% ±12 | 74% ±26 | 88% ±32 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 0.37% | 0.27% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,676.83–7,683.53 (-0.7%) | 3.1 | 3.0% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 20% ±18 | 24% ±9 | 39% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 88 | 6% ±5 | 20% ±18 | 42% ±40 | 64% ±54 | 4.8d | 0.45% | 0.28% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,648.48–7,653.63 (-1.1%) | 4.9 | 2.4% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 11% ±9 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 81 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 29% ±24 | 45% ±40 | > 7d | 0.62% | 0.49% | 251 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,635.7 (-1.3%) | 6.0 | 0.2% | 18m | 13.7d ago · 54× | 15% ±15 | 30% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 67 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±15 | 34% ±35 | 47% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 133 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,735.14 | 7,781.66 | 7,676.83 | expired | -0.36% |