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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-03 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,763.27 (+0.8%) | 3.0 | 2.9% | 5h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 13% ±11 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 32% ±25 | 53% ±44 | 6.2d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 228 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 7,751.97 (+0.6%) | 2.5 | 12.7% | 16h | 4.5d ago · 46× | 16% ±16 | 26% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 51 | 5% ±4 | 15% ±16 | 34% ±35 | 59% ±56 | 5.1d | 0.47% | 0.29% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,712.18 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 7.8% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 73% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 97 | 55% ±7 | 73% ±15 | 83% ±21 | 88% ±28 | 2h | 0.39% | 0.19% | 212 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,709.84–7,724.23 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 7.2% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 73% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 36% ±11 | 77 | 58% ±8 | 73% ±17 | 83% ±26 | 89% ±31 | 2h | 0.55% | 0.36% | 152 → 4 | |
| at post · 7,703.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 7,694.55 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 3.7% | 5h | 12.5d ago · 40× | 75% ±25 | 16% ±11 | 47% ±15 | 37% ±15 | 40 | 60% ±11 | 75% ±25 | 88% ±32 | 92% ±38 | 2h | 0.37% | 0.28% | 70 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 7,664.63–7,681.07 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 7.0% | 12h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 66% ±16 | 26% ±9 | 26% ±9 | 47% ±10 | 88 | 45% ±7 | 66% ±16 | 79% ±24 | 86% ±30 | 18h | 0.44% | 0.46% | 196 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAL | 7,668.74–7,671.31 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 8.7% | 19h | 4.5d ago · 75× | 41% ±20 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 90 | 20% ±7 | 41% ±20 | 65% ±33 | 81% ±45 | 2.0d | 0.53% | 0.35% | 135 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 7,631.75–7,648.19 (-0.7%) | 2.8 | 2.0% | 4h | 13.4d ago · 54× | 26% ±17 | 30% ±11 | 30% ±11 | 41% ±12 | 68 | 11% ±5 | 26% ±17 | 50% ±33 | 67% ±46 | 3.0d | 0.51% | 0.37% | 157 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,641.65 (-0.8%) | 3.1 | 1.2% | 3h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 22% ±15 | 24% ±10 | 37% ±12 | 39% ±12 | 64 | 5% ±3 | 22% ±15 | 42% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 5.0d | 0.57% | 0.45% | 175 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,611.2 (-1.2%) | 4.7 | <0.1% | 14m | 6.3d ago · 67× | 9% ±9 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 82 | 3% ±2 | 9% ±9 | 28% ±24 | 52% ±40 | 6.9d | 0.56% | 0.50% | 254 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 7,703.52 | 7,712.18 | 7,611.2 | target | +0.32% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 7,703.52 | 7,756.41 | 7,671.31 | target | +0.32% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 7,703.52 | 7,751.97 | 7,651.72 | target | +0.32% |