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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-09-12 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 391.765 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 369.0387 (-5.8%) | 4.9 | 0.3% | 29m | 12.9d ago · 43× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 359.3748 (-8.3%) | 7.0 | 0.8% | 39m | 13.9d ago · 53× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 30D VAH | 355.8493 (-9.2%) | 7.7 | 2.2% | 2h | 5.8d ago · 38× | building | 20% ±23 | 33% ±27 | 47% ±28 | 12 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.18% | 1.79% | 2 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 344.9532–352.7361 (-10.0%) | 8.4 | 4.8% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 69× | building | 47% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 26% ±22 | 16 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.62% | 0.97% | 0 → 0 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 344.3061–347.3194 (-11.3%) | 9.5 | 11.0% | 19h | 1.8d ago · 79× | 6% ±24 | 36% ±26 | 34% ±26 | 30% ±25 | 13 | 6% ±10 | 6% ±24 | 14% | 20% | > 7d | 2.08% | 0.77% | 22 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 335.6243 (-14.3%) | 12 | 9.2% | 14h | 8.9d ago · 58× | 4% ±18 | 29% ±27 | 43% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 7% ±35 | 11% | > 7d | 2.38% | 1.02% | 27 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 331.7223 (-15.3%) | 13 | 6.5% | 9h | 7.6d ago · 44× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 5% ±31 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 391.765 | 425.1794 | 347.3194 | expired | +1.08% |