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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-09-17 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 425.6999 (+3.2%) | 1.8 | 0.7% | 11m | 5.9d ago · 68× | 43% ±43 | 29% ±24 | 47% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 13% ±12 | 43% ±43 | 56% ±69 | 66% | 2.9d | 1.16% | 1.66% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 418.2386 (+1.4%) | 0.8 | 5.3% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 82× | 77% ±47 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 77% ±18 | 77% ±47 | 91% | 95% | 1h | 1.40% | 1.27% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 416.8119–420.1449 (+1.0%) | 0.6 | 4.6% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 61× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 412.6201 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 396.8139–405.7019 (-1.7%) | 1.0 | 0.8% | 47m | 12.9d ago · 36× | 52% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 40% ±20 | 56% ±49 | 60% | 64% | 1.0d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 395.5495 (-4.1%) | 2.4 | 2.4% | 3h | 12.9d ago · 43× | 47% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±17 | 44% ±69 | 58% | 67% | 1.0d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 379.3614 (-8.1%) | 4.6 | 0.5% | 10m | 12.7d ago · 79× | 4% ±14 | 23% ±26 | 31% ±29 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 20% ±46 | 29% | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.29% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 359.04 (-13.0%) | 7.5 | 1.4% | 1h | 5.8d ago · 38× | building | 20% ±23 | 33% ±27 | 47% ±28 | 12 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.18% | 1.79% | 9 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 343.486–354.596 (-14.1%) | 8.1 | 4.6% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 69× | building | 47% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 26% ±22 | 16 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.62% | 0.97% | 6 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 347.0263–347.3745 (-15.8%) | 9.1 | 14.1% | 1.1d | 1.8d ago · 59× | 6% ±26 | 38% ±26 | 38% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 15% | 27% | > 7d | 1.90% | 0.73% | 19 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 331.48 (-19.7%) | 11 | 5.7% | 10h | 8.9d ago · 58× | 6% ±18 | 29% ±27 | 43% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 8% ±38 | 11% | > 7d | 2.38% | 1.02% | 36 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 317.933 (-22.9%) | 13 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.7d ago · 44× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 5% ±30 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 412.6201 | 379.3614 | 425.6999 | stop | -3.96% |