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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-09-19 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,783 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.47 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 428.5943 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 2h | 6.3d ago · 68× | 68% ±46 | 28% ±23 | 50% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 15 | 59% ±19 | 69% ±41 | 79% ±56 | 90% | 2h | 1.36% | 1.64% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 426.7701 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 415.7531–425.1627 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 3.8% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 69× | 70% ±45 | 47% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 62% ±18 | 72% ±39 | 79% ±56 | 83% | 1h | 2.62% | 0.97% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 418.0759–418.3973 (-2.0%) | 1.3 | 6.2% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 79× | 47% ±49 | 44% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 28% ±18 | 49% ±49 | 56% | 73% | 1.8d | 2.55% | 0.43% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 411.3727 (-3.6%) | 2.4 | 1.6% | 1h | 13.1d ago · 79× | 26% ±35 | 23% ±26 | 31% ±29 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 10% ±10 | 26% ±35 | 46% ±69 | 56% | 6.0d | 2.05% | 1.29% | 37 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 396.9339–406.3435 (-4.8%) | 3.2 | 0.8% | 51m | 13.3d ago · 36× | 7% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±22 | 15% ±49 | 38% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 392.2291 (-8.1%) | 5.5 | 2.7% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 39× | building | 20% ±23 | 33% ±27 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 31% | 31% | > 7d | 1.18% | 1.79% | 10 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAL | 343.82–347.798 (-18.5%) | 13 | 11.8% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 5% ±19 | 35% ±26 | 39% ±27 | 26% ±24 | 13 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±16 | 4% ±28 | 6% | > 7d | 2.04% | 0.82% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 314.6 (-26.3%) | 18 | 0.2% | 16m | 8.1d ago · 44× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 426.7701 | 428.5943 | 411.3727 | expired | -0.21% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 426.7701 | 501.026 | 347.798 | expired | -0.21% |