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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-09-25 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 440.5819 (+2.7%) | 1.9 | 2.2% | 4h | 19.9d ago · 52× | 29% ±40 | 38% ±30 | 31% ±29 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 16% ±13 | 29% ±40 | 61% ±68 | 65% | 2.1d | 2.05% | 0.92% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 436.1697 (+1.6%) | 1.2 | 2.6% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 64% ±36 | 25% ±21 | 50% ±24 | 25% ±21 | 17 | 48% ±15 | 64% ±36 | 75% ±60 | 84% | 5h | 1.57% | 1.53% | 42 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 433.0419–434.2357 (+0.9%) | 0.6 | 3.4% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 61× | building | building | building | building | building | 8 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 429.1599 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 415.1349–428.2667 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 69% ±41 | 48% ±23 | 29% ±21 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 57% ±18 | 70% ±40 | 80% ±55 | 83% | 2h | 2.62% | 0.97% | 28 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 421.1039–425.1889 (-0.9%) | 0.7 | 6.5% | 9h | 1.8d ago · 79× | 60% ±39 | 31% ±24 | 36% ±24 | 32% ±24 | 15 | 45% ±17 | 60% ±39 | 71% ±63 | 77% | 12h | 1.98% | 0.92% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 408.9163 (-4.7%) | 3.3 | 1.2% | 1h | 8.9d ago · 58× | 13% ±30 | 29% ±27 | 43% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 7% ±9 | 13% ±30 | 27% ±61 | 43% | > 7d | 2.38% | 1.02% | 28 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 397.2279–406.7783 (-5.2%) | 3.7 | 0.9% | 57m | 12.9d ago · 36× | 5% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 11% ±43 | 28% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 347.6853 (-19.0%) | 13 | 9.0% | 18h | 6.9d ago · 45× | 4% ±20 | 44% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | 1.87% | 0.79% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 325.6 (-24.1%) | 17 | 0.2% | 14m | 7.7d ago · 44× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 429.1599 | 424.6597 | 438.7787 | target | +1.36% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 429.1599 | 425.1889 | 446.2817 | target | +1.36% |