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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-14 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 449.995 (+5.9%) | 3.9 | 2.9% | 4h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 12% ±24 | 39% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 5% ±6 | 11% ±24 | 35% ±66 | 62% | 6.1d | 1.98% | 1.06% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 440.1249–443.1755 (+3.6%) | 2.3 | 8.6% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 68× | 26% ±31 | 25% ±19 | 40% ±22 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 5% ±6 | 26% ±29 | 47% ±56 | 55% | 4.7d | 1.30% | 1.81% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 434.8937 (+2.4%) | 1.5 | 8.5% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 82× | 38% ±47 | 43% ±23 | 14% ±16 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 31% ±18 | 42% ±48 | 65% | 81% | 2.9d | 1.52% | 1.58% | 24 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 432.4909–435.9069 (+1.8%) | 1.2 | 8.1% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 79% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 50% ±26 | 81% ±54 | 88% | 94% | 4h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 426.0005 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 11.3% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 33× | 52% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 50% ±22 | 55% ±56 | 64% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| at post · 424.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 421.525–422.717 (-0.5%) | 0.3 | 10.0% | 13h | 8.6d ago · 79× | 76% ±42 | 25% ±22 | 39% ±25 | 36% ±24 | 15 | 58% ±19 | 77% ±41 | 85% | 87% | 2h | 2.30% | 1.49% | 25 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 418.8269–419.5101 (-1.2%) | 0.8 | 8.4% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 69× | 68% ±30 | 41% ±20 | 37% ±19 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 58% ±13 | 69% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 82% | 2h | 2.14% | 0.99% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 417.4605 (-1.7%) | 1.1 | 7.3% | 10h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 56% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 50% ±23 | 60% ±55 | 60% | 60% | 21h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 424.8 | 421.525 | 440.1249 | stop | -3.45% |
| 30d | POC | short | 424.8 | 417.4605 | 442.7388 | expired | -3.45% |