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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 444.7884–447.623 (+3.8%) | 2.2 | 6.8% | 10h | 1.6d ago · 52× | 22% ±29 | 39% ±25 | 28% ±23 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 7% ±7 | 21% ±28 | 52% ±57 | 57% | 3.0d | 1.98% | 1.06% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 437.4276 (+2.0%) | 1.2 | 9.8% | 16h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 57% ±32 | 23% ±19 | 50% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 43% ±13 | 57% ±32 | 72% ±51 | 80% | 21h | 1.36% | 1.53% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 437.2733–440.6893 (+2.0%) | 1.2 | 9.8% | 16h | 5.9d ago · 61× | 82% ±43 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 50% ±25 | 83% ±42 | 89% | 94% | 4h | 1.22% | 1.49% | 16 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 430.6164–433.6875 (+0.5%) | 0.3 | 11.0% | 16h | 1.6d ago · 82× | 70% ±40 | 39% ±22 | 16% ±17 | 44% ±22 | 19 | 68% ±17 | 69% ±40 | 82% ±54 | 96% | 11h | 1.41% | 1.64% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 428.685 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 426.6837 (-0.5%) | 0.3 | 12.5% | 19h | 6.9d ago · 45× | 83% ±37 | 45% ±24 | 30% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 17 | 63% ±20 | 83% ±37 | 92% | 92% | 1h | 1.87% | 0.90% | 22 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 420.1933–422.717 (-1.4%) | 0.8 | 9.8% | 15h | 7.7d ago · 79× | 68% ±37 | 33% ±23 | 37% ±24 | 30% ±22 | 16 | 50% ±16 | 66% ±38 | 71% ±63 | 75% | 8h | 2.72% | 1.16% | 38 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 428.685 | 430.6164 | 440.2218 | target | -0.55% |
| 14d | POC | short | 428.685 | 422.717 | 447.623 | expired | -0.55% |