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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-30 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 465.605 (+4.8%) | 3.3 | 1.7% | 2h | 5.9d ago · 68× | 22% ±26 | 27% ±18 | 50% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 7% ±6 | 22% ±26 | 38% ±55 | 48% | > 7d | 1.57% | 1.29% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 459.3275 (+3.4%) | 2.3 | 6.0% | 10h | 1.7d ago · 82× | 26% ±43 | 38% ±20 | 27% ±18 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 11% ±12 | 26% ±43 | 59% | 81% | 2.9d | 1.55% | 1.55% | 25 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 455.849 (+2.6%) | 1.8 | 3.8% | 5h | 19.9d ago · 52× | 27% ±31 | 40% ±23 | 30% ±22 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 15% ±10 | 27% ±31 | 56% ±56 | 67% | 2.9d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 449.995 (+1.3%) | 0.9 | 4.9% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 40× | 51% ±37 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 34% ±15 | 51% ±37 | 61% ±68 | 71% | 1.0d | 1.03% | 1.17% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 445.4945 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 10.0% | 17h | 1.7d ago · 54× | 59% ±56 | 24% ±22 | 24% ±22 | 53% ±26 | 14 | 59% ±22 | 59% ±56 | 68% | 91% | 1h | 1.28% | 2.18% | 20 → 1 | |
| at post · 444.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 442.82 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 8.6% | 13h | 12.7d ago · 79× | 74% ±43 | 27% ±20 | 32% ±21 | 41% ±22 | 19 | 63% ±19 | 74% ±43 | 85% | 89% | 1h | 2.23% | 1.81% | 25 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 430.426–439.914 (-1.0%) | 0.7 | 8.4% | 12h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 76% ±25 | 38% ±17 | 38% ±17 | 24% ±15 | 31 | 67% ±12 | 76% ±25 | 83% ±37 | 85% ±50 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.02% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 433.6875 (-2.4%) | 1.7 | 10.9% | 20h | 6.9d ago · 45× | 49% ±40 | 42% ±21 | 33% ±20 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 31% ±16 | 49% ±40 | 77% ±58 | 97% | 1.0d | 1.87% | 1.05% | 33 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 428.768 (-3.5%) | 2.5 | 7.2% | 12h | 8.9d ago · 58× | 26% ±30 | 38% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 12% ±9 | 26% ±30 | 48% ±57 | 56% | 4.0d | 3.16% | 1.10% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 423.903 (-4.6%) | 3.2 | 4.9% | 6h | 7.7d ago · 44× | 20% ±26 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 7% ±7 | 20% ±26 | 41% ±56 | 53% | 6.9d | 4.17% | 0.17% | 52 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 444.42 | 442.82 | 465.605 | target | -2.38% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 444.42 | 445.4945 | 460.7236 | target | -2.38% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 444.42 | 433.6875 | 454.6916 | stop | -2.38% |