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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-10-31 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 465.5268 (+4.7%) | 3.5 | 1.6% | 2h | 5.7d ago · 68× | 20% ±25 | 27% ±18 | 50% ±20 | 23% ±17 | 23 | 7% ±6 | 20% ±25 | 39% ±55 | 50% | > 7d | 1.57% | 1.29% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 459.0816 (+3.2%) | 2.4 | 5.2% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 82× | 25% ±42 | 41% ±20 | 26% ±18 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 10% ±11 | 28% ±39 | 60% ±68 | 82% | 2.9d | 1.64% | 1.49% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 455.849 (+2.5%) | 1.9 | 3.3% | 4h | 19.7d ago · 52× | 27% ±31 | 40% ±23 | 30% ±22 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 14% ±10 | 30% ±32 | 58% ±56 | 68% | 2.9d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 445.4945–449.995 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 9.9% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 54× | 59% ±36 | 20% ±20 | 36% ±24 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 47% ±15 | 60% ±36 | 70% ±64 | 82% | 13h | 1.40% | 1.47% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 444.7795 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 430.426–439.914 (-1.1%) | 0.8 | 7.6% | 11h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 74% ±26 | 37% ±17 | 37% ±17 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 66% ±11 | 75% ±25 | 83% ±37 | 85% ±50 | 1h | 2.03% | 1.02% | 69 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 433.6875 (-2.5%) | 1.9 | 10.0% | 18h | 6.7d ago · 45× | 35% ±38 | 42% ±21 | 33% ±20 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 26% ±14 | 34% ±38 | 69% ±64 | 88% | 2.0d | 1.87% | 1.05% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 430.361 (-3.2%) | 2.5 | 8.1% | 14h | 8.7d ago · 58× | 25% ±30 | 38% ±22 | 38% ±22 | 24% ±20 | 18 | 12% ±9 | 25% ±30 | 47% ±56 | 56% | 4.9d | 3.16% | 1.10% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 423.903 (-4.7%) | 3.5 | 4.5% | 5h | 7.5d ago · 44× | 15% ±21 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 6% ±6 | 15% ±21 | 32% ±46 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 4.17% | 0.17% | 65 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 444.7795 | 427.1011 | 459.0816 | expired | -2.64% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 444.7795 | 445.4945 | 460.4368 | target | -2.64% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 444.7795 | 433.6875 | 454.6916 | stop | -2.64% |