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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-06 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 457.1626–463.534 (+3.9%) | 2.1 | 5.9% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 68× | 23% ±25 | 29% ±19 | 39% ±20 | 32% ±19 | 23 | 9% ±7 | 25% ±26 | 48% ±49 | 62% ±67 | 3.4d | 1.67% | 1.29% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 447.9495–450.8769 (+1.8%) | 1.0 | 9.9% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 82× | 54% ±40 | 35% ±18 | 23% ±16 | 42% ±19 | 26 | 45% ±16 | 55% ±40 | 74% ±61 | 89% | 15h | 1.77% | 1.83% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 443.3862–448.3958 (+0.8%) | 0.4 | 9.9% | 17h | 5.7d ago · 61× | 91% ±28 | 11% ±15 | 37% ±24 | 53% ±24 | 16 | 61% ±21 | 91% ±28 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 1.41% | 1.05% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 440.5472–442.901 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 8.8% | 12h | 5.7d ago · 52× | 75% ±60 | 17% ±20 | 43% ±26 | 40% ±26 | 14 | 69% ±24 | 75% ±60 | 88% | 94% | 1h | 1.51% | 1.92% | 14 → 1 | |
| at post · 439.9988 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 433.6801 (-1.4%) | 0.8 | 14.6% | 1.0d | 6.7d ago · 45× | 69% ±34 | 42% ±21 | 33% ±20 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 55% ±15 | 69% ±34 | 88% ±45 | 93% | 3h | 1.87% | 1.05% | 40 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 427.7312 (-2.8%) | 1.5 | 6.6% | 10h | 7.5d ago · 44× | 44% ±43 | 53% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 28% ±16 | 44% ±43 | 47% ±69 | 54% | 5.9d | 4.17% | 0.17% | 30 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 439.9988 | 419.7292 | 450.8769 | stop | +2.56% |