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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-11 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 465.1977 (+6.9%) | 3.8 | 3.7% | 6h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 15% ±23 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 7% ±7 | 14% ±23 | 33% ±53 | 61% | 6.1d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 454.6904–456.6207 (+4.5%) | 2.5 | 6.4% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 68× | 25% ±26 | 25% ±17 | 42% ±20 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 7% ±6 | 24% ±24 | 45% ±49 | 57% ±69 | 3.9d | 1.50% | 1.49% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 446.091–446.7157 (+2.5%) | 1.4 | 14.1% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 82× | 37% ±36 | 32% ±17 | 24% ±16 | 43% ±18 | 28 | 26% ±14 | 37% ±36 | 62% ±67 | 86% | 2.0d | 1.74% | 1.80% | 40 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 442.7816–449.4003 (+1.7%) | 1.0 | 10.1% | 16h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 81% ±34 | 10% ±14 | 38% ±22 | 52% ±23 | 18 | 56% ±18 | 81% ±34 | 94% ±34 | 97% | 2h | 1.41% | 1.49% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 441.7122 (+1.5%) | 0.8 | 8.6% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 67% ±65 | 14% ±21 | 36% ±28 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 60% ±27 | 67% ±65 | 87% | 93% | 1h | 1.35% | 2.92% | 13 → 1 | |
| at post · 435.2665 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 428.3408–431.9054 (-0.8%) | 0.4 | 11.1% | 18h | 7.4d ago · 79× | 74% ±35 | 37% ±19 | 32% ±19 | 31% ±18 | 24 | 57% ±16 | 75% ±34 | 82% ±54 | 83% | 2h | 2.92% | 1.02% | 36 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 435.2665 | 411.781 | 446.6703 | expired | +0.42% |