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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-14 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 467.6797 (+14.4%) | 8.8 | 2.1% | 4h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 7% ±22 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 3% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 18% ±53 | 46% | > 7d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 31 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 458.5507 (+12.2%) | 7.5 | 5.4% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 5% ±18 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 5% ±7 | 5% ±18 | 20% ±55 | 57% | 7.0d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 446.2266–449.6715 (+9.2%) | 5.6 | 12.0% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 68× | 10% ±22 | 26% ±18 | 35% ±19 | 39% ±20 | 24 | 4% ±6 | 9% ±21 | 26% ±61 | 58% | 4.5d | 1.37% | 1.67% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 433.952 (+6.2%) | 3.8 | 9.2% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 82× | 21% ±33 | 48% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 5% ±7 | 20% ±30 | 53% ±69 | 87% | 3.0d | 2.93% | 1.13% | 39 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 429.3379–451.2475 (+5.0%) | 3.1 | 5.1% | 10h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 47% ±56 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 17% ±18 | 44% ±56 | 78% | 94% | 1.9d | 1.59% | 1.27% | 16 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 425.6863–428.425 (+4.1%) | 2.5 | 3.1% | 4h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 40% ±68 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±14 | 40% ±68 | 78% | 93% | 2.0d | 1.41% | 2.87% | 13 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 411.0799–419.296 (+0.6%) | 0.3 | 0.9% | 1h | 15.5d ago · 46× | 83% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 62% ±29 | 85% ±50 | 85% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| at post · 408.8099 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 406.192 (-0.6%) | 0.4 | 1.2% | 1h | 12.4d ago · 79× | 84% ±27 | 27% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 58% ±15 | 84% ±27 | 91% ±40 | 93% | 1h | 2.23% | 1.89% | 41 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 408.8099 | 433.952 | 398.3657 | expired | -1.10% |