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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-11-17 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 470.4583 (+13.2%) | 7.6 | 1.5% | 3h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 6% ±16 | 45% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±16 | 14% ±39 | 49% | > 7d | 2.29% | 0.78% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 463.1152 (+11.4%) | 6.6 | 5.1% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 8% ±19 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±6 | 8% ±19 | 20% ±46 | 55% | 7.0d | 1.18% | 1.72% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 446.2266–447.4089 (+7.3%) | 4.2 | 14.1% | 24h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 17% ±28 | 23% ±19 | 26% ±20 | 51% ±23 | 18 | 5% ±7 | 17% ±28 | 39% ±68 | 68% | 5.3d | 1.12% | 1.90% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 431.1637–432.9486 (+3.7%) | 2.1 | 6.1% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 24% ±23 | 30% ±18 | 48% ±20 | 22% ±17 | 24 | 8% ±6 | 24% ±23 | 41% ±48 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | 1.70% | 1.36% | 76 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 431.1637–437.554 (+3.7%) | 2.1 | 6.1% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 58% ±48 | 14% ±15 | 36% ±22 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 17% ±16 | 58% ±48 | 80% | 96% | 1.0d | 1.59% | 1.27% | 22 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 422.5516 (+1.6%) | 0.9 | 1.8% | 1h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 57% ±49 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 43% ±21 | 57% ±49 | 78% | 96% | 21h | 1.41% | 2.87% | 21 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 418.3831–420.2089 (+0.6%) | 0.4 | 1.2% | 34m | 15.4d ago · 46× | 80% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 60% ±27 | 80% ±55 | 87% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 415.7499 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 411.9928–414.7315 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 38m | 12.6d ago · 36× | 82% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 59% ±25 | 82% ±43 | 82% | 82% | 3h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 407.1954 (-2.1%) | 1.2 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.6d ago · 78× | 68% ±29 | 38% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 46% ±13 | 68% ±29 | 76% ±48 | 88% | 18h | 2.37% | 1.55% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 382.78 (-7.9%) | 4.6 | 0.2% | 6m | 12.4d ago · 79× | 10% ±15 | 26% ±16 | 32% ±17 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±15 | 32% ±41 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.85% | 82 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 415.7499 | 432.9486 | 382.78 | expired | -4.58% |