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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-08 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 449.315–449.6926 (+1.3%) | 1.3 | 2.3% | 4h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 48% ±27 | 32% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 24% ±15 | 30 | 31% ±10 | 48% ±27 | 69% ±45 | 76% ±59 | 1.0d | 1.88% | 1.30% | 80 → 2 | |
| at post · 443.4872 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 435.9265 (-1.7%) | 1.7 | 2.4% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 38× | 47% ±44 | 20% ±17 | 36% ±20 | 44% ±21 | 22 | 22% ±15 | 47% ±44 | 72% ±62 | 79% | 1.1d | 1.52% | 1.57% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 428.9187–429.0434 (-3.3%) | 3.2 | 4.6% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 78× | 31% ±29 | 27% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 34% ±15 | 36 | 16% ±9 | 31% ±29 | 50% ±57 | 66% | 3.0d | 2.30% | 1.19% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 422.855 (-4.7%) | 4.6 | 2.7% | 3h | 12.3d ago · 79× | 11% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 35% ±16 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 4% ±4 | 11% ±15 | 34% ±42 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.29% | 1.47% | 97 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 412.983 (-6.9%) | 6.8 | 2.7% | 2h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 9% ±15 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±5 | 9% ±15 | 22% ±41 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 401.5112 (-9.5%) | 9.3 | 6.0% | 8h | 6.5d ago · 45× | 5% ±17 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 5% ±7 | 5% ±17 | 20% ±56 | 29% | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 394.6282 (-11.0%) | 11 | 1.8% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±10 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 4% ±4 | 4% ±10 | 6% ±24 | 10% ±42 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 76 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 443.4872 | 428.9187 | 454.0778 | expired | -0.43% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 443.4872 | 429.0434 | 456.3003 | expired | -0.43% |