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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-11 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 458.87 (+2.7%) | 2.8 | 0.3% | 18m | 19.5d ago · 52× | 25% ±25 | 39% ±19 | 32% ±18 | 29% ±18 | 25 | 11% ±7 | 24% ±23 | 46% ±49 | 63% ±67 | 4.8d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 454.3822 (+1.7%) | 1.7 | 2.4% | 6h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 36% ±25 | 31% ±16 | 49% ±17 | 20% ±14 | 32 | 14% ±7 | 35% ±25 | 57% ±43 | 66% ±65 | 2.8d | 1.92% | 1.36% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 447.3982 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.5% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 68% ±41 | 25% ±19 | 17% ±16 | 58% ±21 | 21 | 61% ±16 | 69% ±37 | 75% ±60 | 92% | 1h | 1.32% | 2.28% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 446.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 446.2333 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 11h | 6.5d ago · 78× | 80% ±25 | 33% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 61% ±12 | 80% ±25 | 84% ±42 | 95% | 1h | 2.37% | 1.63% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 440.2102–440.5152 (-1.4%) | 1.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 79× | 50% ±28 | 26% ±15 | 34% ±16 | 40% ±16 | 35 | 27% ±10 | 52% ±27 | 73% ±44 | 83% ±52 | 1.0d | 2.02% | 1.25% | 77 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 435.9265 (-2.5%) | 2.6 | 1.6% | 2h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 23% ±24 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 8% ±6 | 22% ±24 | 48% ±49 | 62% ±67 | 3.1d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 401.5112 (-10.2%) | 11 | 5.4% | 8h | 6.5d ago · 45× | 2% ±11 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 9% ±32 | 17% | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 394.6282 (-11.7%) | 12 | 1.6% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 2% ±8 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 4% ±16 | 8% ±37 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 83 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 446.94 | 454.3822 | 440.2102 | target | +2.74% |