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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-16 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 475.145 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 471.8648 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 1.4% | 44m | 13.6d ago · 53× | 77% ±29 | 24% ±16 | 38% ±19 | 38% ±19 | 26 | 56% ±14 | 77% ±29 | 85% ±40 | 90% | 2h | 1.92% | 1.34% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 457.957–458.084 (-3.6%) | 2.4 | 1.8% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 43× | 40% ±39 | 28% ±17 | 33% ±18 | 39% ±19 | 26 | 12% ±10 | 38% ±39 | 63% ±67 | 74% | 1.9d | 1.93% | 1.05% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 445.9055–446.5892 (-6.0%) | 4.0 | 9.1% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 78× | 21% ±24 | 31% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 8% ±6 | 20% ±23 | 43% ±49 | 57% ±69 | 3.5d | 2.34% | 1.28% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 439.58 (-7.5%) | 4.9 | 3.7% | 6h | 12.4d ago · 79× | 10% ±15 | 30% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±14 | 32% ±37 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 2.45% | 1.00% | 101 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 435.9062 (-8.3%) | 5.4 | 2.3% | 3h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 11% ±16 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±4 | 11% ±15 | 29% ±40 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 404.9304 (-14.8%) | 9.7 | 6.3% | 8h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±8 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 3% ±8 | 6% ±19 | 11% ±43 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 100 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.