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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-16 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 491.5 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 0.3% | 25m | 5.6d ago · 68× | 75% ±27 | 33% ±16 | 47% ±17 | 19% ±14 | 33 | 58% ±12 | 75% ±27 | 86% ±39 | 94% | 2h | 2.01% | 1.42% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 489.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 477.4282 (-2.5%) | 1.8 | 4.3% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 78× | 54% ±31 | 33% ±15 | 31% ±15 | 36% ±15 | 39 | 32% ±12 | 54% ±31 | 68% ±53 | 88% | 1.0d | 2.55% | 1.63% | 61 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 457.095–459.4972 (-6.2%) | 4.3 | 1.0% | 49m | 5.5d ago · 43× | 16% ±32 | 28% ±17 | 33% ±18 | 39% ±19 | 26 | 5% ±8 | 15% ±32 | 42% ±68 | 46% | 3.0d | 1.93% | 1.05% | 30 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL · 14D POC | 447.1188–449.7225 (-8.2%) | 5.7 | 6.6% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 10% ±15 | 30% ±15 | 37% ±16 | 34% ±15 | 37 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±15 | 29% ±40 | 41% ±68 | 6.1d | 2.29% | 1.03% | 90 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 434.7404 (-11.2%) | 7.8 | 2.0% | 2h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 8% ±14 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±14 | 14% ±30 | 26% ±61 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 88 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 403.03 (-17.7%) | 12 | 6.0% | 10h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±7 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 3% ±15 | 7% ±34 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 92 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.