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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-17 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 495.24 (+6.0%) | 3.9 | 0.3% | 12m | 5.5d ago · 68× | 18% ±19 | 33% ±16 | 47% ±17 | 19% ±14 | 33 | 5% ±5 | 18% ±19 | 39% ±43 | 51% ±69 | 7.0d | 2.01% | 1.42% | 93 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 474.8434–477.3942 (+1.6%) | 1.1 | 4.5% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 57% ±28 | 42% ±16 | 27% ±14 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 39% ±11 | 57% ±28 | 79% ±40 | 86% ±48 | 21h | 1.99% | 1.15% | 73 → 2 | |
| at post · 467.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 455.6208–458.4503 (-1.9%) | 1.2 | 1.6% | 1h | 5.5d ago · 79× | 58% ±24 | 30% ±15 | 32% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 32% ±10 | 58% ±24 | 73% ±39 | 81% ±55 | 23h | 2.14% | 1.14% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 448.1478–448.1922 (-4.1%) | 2.6 | 7.9% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 33% ±28 | 30% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34 | 15% ±8 | 32% ±28 | 56% ±49 | 78% ±58 | 2.5d | 2.19% | 1.04% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 435.25 (-6.8%) | 4.4 | 2.2% | 2h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 12% ±15 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±4 | 11% ±15 | 31% ±37 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 103 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 396.192 (-15.2%) | 9.8 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 3% ±8 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 3% ±8 | 6% ±19 | 11% ±35 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 105 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.