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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 490.4187 (+0.5%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 73% ±26 | 35% ±16 | 46% ±17 | 19% ±13 | 34 | 55% ±12 | 73% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 94% ±33 | 2h | 2.05% | 1.36% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 487.8399 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 476.6431–477.294 (-2.2%) | 1.3 | 6.4% | 9h | 6.6d ago · 78× | 55% ±28 | 30% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 40 | 32% ±11 | 55% ±28 | 68% ±46 | 86% ±48 | 23h | 2.42% | 1.32% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 466.8479 (-4.3%) | 2.7 | 1.2% | 1h | 12.4d ago · 79× | 28% ±21 | 30% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 12% ±6 | 27% ±21 | 51% ±40 | 68% ±65 | 3.0d | 2.45% | 1.00% | 101 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 460.5732 (-5.6%) | 3.5 | 0.7% | 24m | 5.6d ago · 38× | 19% ±29 | 31% ±18 | 31% ±18 | 38% ±19 | 26 | 2% ±4 | 18% ±29 | 49% ±69 | 62% | 3.0d | 1.70% | 1.32% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 447.5479–448.1922 (-8.1%) | 5.1 | 8.4% | 16h | 1.6d ago · 59× | 13% ±20 | 30% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 31% ±16 | 34 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±20 | 35% ±47 | 49% ±69 | 6.1d | 2.19% | 1.04% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 435.25 (-10.8%) | 6.7 | 2.4% | 3h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 7% ±13 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 4% ±4 | 7% ±12 | 19% ±32 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 396.192 (-18.8%) | 12 | 2.2% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±8 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±3 | 3% ±8 | 4% ±16 | 7% ±36 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 100 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 487.8399 | 477.294 | 494.6614 | target | +1.74% |