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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-19 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 495.24 (+3.1%) | 2.1 | 0.3% | 12m | 19.6d ago · 52× | 39% ±28 | 41% ±19 | 31% ±18 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 18% ±9 | 39% ±28 | 63% ±47 | 71% ±63 | 1.8d | 2.18% | 0.98% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 488.2759 (+1.6%) | 1.1 | 4.0% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 59% ±25 | 35% ±16 | 46% ±17 | 19% ±13 | 34 | 41% ±10 | 60% ±24 | 75% ±38 | 83% ±53 | 21h | 2.05% | 1.36% | 93 → 2 | |
| at post · 480.545 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 476.943–477.294 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 5.8% | 9h | 1.6d ago · 78× | 76% ±24 | 28% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 35% ±15 | 40 | 57% ±11 | 74% ±24 | 79% ±40 | 92% ±37 | 2h | 2.40% | 1.34% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 468.455 (-2.5%) | 1.7 | 1.5% | 2h | 12.4d ago · 79× | 43% ±26 | 30% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 21% ±9 | 42% ±26 | 63% ±42 | 77% ±58 | 1.2d | 2.45% | 1.00% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 460.5732 (-4.2%) | 2.9 | 0.5% | 18m | 5.6d ago · 38× | 23% ±31 | 31% ±18 | 31% ±18 | 38% ±19 | 26 | 4% ±6 | 22% ±29 | 51% ±57 | 67% | 3.0d | 1.70% | 1.32% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 448.1922–449.6476 (-6.4%) | 4.4 | 6.4% | 10h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 13% ±16 | 35% ±19 | 30% ±18 | 35% ±19 | 24 | 5% ±4 | 13% ±16 | 35% ±38 | 53% ±56 | 4.9d | 2.28% | 1.39% | 106 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 391.2396 (-18.6%) | 13 | 1.2% | 1h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±7 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 3% ±15 | 5% ±31 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 97 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 480.545 | 477.294 | 491.8437 | target | -0.08% |