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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-26 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 30D VAH · 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 481.3613–493.8318 (+0.4%) | 0.0 | 43.6% | 2.1d | 1.4d ago · 82× | 74% ±24 | 34% ±15 | 32% ±15 | 34% ±15 | 39 | 57% ±11 | 74% ±24 | 84% ±35 | 91% ±40 | 3h | 1.78% | 1.47% | 78 → 2 | |
| at post · 479.634 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 473.879–478.8672 (-0.2%) | 0.0 | 41.7% | 2.1d | 8.7d ago · 79× | 74% ±27 | 29% ±14 | 30% ±15 | 41% ±16 | 38 | 52% ±13 | 74% ±27 | 81% ±44 | 81% | 9h | 2.39% | 1.36% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 446.4439 (-6.9%) | 0.7 | 36.2% | 2.3d | 6.7d ago · 45× | 56% ±31 | 39% ±19 | 29% ±18 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 40% ±13 | 56% ±31 | 69% ±52 | 78% | 22h | 2.52% | 1.21% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 419.0088 (-12.6%) | 1.3 | 9.9% | 19h | 7.5d ago · 44× | 39% ±32 | 40% ±23 | 30% ±22 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 24% ±11 | 39% ±32 | 50% ±57 | 57% | 3.1d | 3.87% | 1.00% | 53 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 479.634 | 486.3495 | 476.1736 | stop | -0.93% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 479.634 | 481.3613 | 470.2875 | expired | -0.93% |