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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-02 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 498.82 (+12.1%) | 14 | 0.2% | 5m | 19.5d ago · 52× | 5% ±25 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 17% | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 17 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 486.3495 (+9.3%) | 11 | 4.4% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 7% ±35 | 26% ±18 | 19% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 24 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±35 | 7% | 38% | > 7d | 1.32% | 2.20% | 13 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 483.8554 (+8.7%) | 10 | 3.6% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 2% ±11 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 7% ±36 | 22% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 40 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 467.8545 (+5.1%) | 5.9 | 1.6% | 2h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 5% ±15 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 4% ±5 | 5% ±15 | 20% ±46 | 43% | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.36% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 458.9144 (+3.1%) | 3.6 | 1.8% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 30% ±52 | 15% ±17 | 50% ±24 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 5% ±10 | 30% ±52 | 53% | 89% | 2.9d | 1.56% | 1.66% | 18 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 453.9444 (+2.0%) | 2.3 | 5.0% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 33% ±33 | 39% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 41 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±33 | 68% ±53 | 85% | 2.8d | 2.21% | 1.20% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 451.9573 (+1.5%) | 1.8 | 4.0% | 5h | 6.5d ago · 52× | 39% ±55 | 13% ±15 | 57% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 22% ±20 | 39% ±55 | 89% | 94% | 1.9d | 2.11% | 0.82% | 16 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 446.4439 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 5.2% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 33× | 46% ±40 | 22% ±21 | 33% ±24 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 44% ±16 | 46% ±40 | 55% ±69 | 87% | 2.9d | 0.93% | 1.28% | 37 → 1 | |
| at post · 445.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 438.9616 (-1.4%) | 1.6 | 1.7% | 3h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 35% ±30 | 36% ±22 | 36% ±22 | 27% ±20 | 19 | 18% ±10 | 35% ±30 | 47% ±56 | 58% | 3.8d | 3.87% | 0.89% | 58 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | short | 445.1 | 438.9616 | 483.8554 | target | +1.57% |