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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-06 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+14.2%) | 12 | 2.2% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 2% ±11 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 5% ±29 | 19% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+11.3%) | 9.2 | 6.3% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 3% ±16 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 10% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 465.5761 (+7.7%) | 6.2 | 1.9% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 6% ±13 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±13 | 14% ±34 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 457.739 (+5.8%) | 4.8 | 3.3% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 8% ±14 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 25% ±38 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.36% | 81 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 453.3241–454.3407 (+4.8%) | 3.9 | 5.5% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 18% ±28 | 34% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 41% ±15 | 41 | 3% ±5 | 18% ±27 | 45% ±56 | 65% | 5.0d | 1.88% | 1.57% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 448.938 (+3.8%) | 3.1 | 5.2% | 7h | 7.5d ago · 30× | 26% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±8 | 26% ±43 | 61% | 92% | 2.8d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 438.827 (+1.5%) | 1.2 | 3.4% | 6h | 6.5d ago · 52× | 53% ±44 | 13% ±15 | 57% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 38% ±17 | 51% ±44 | 94% ±33 | 97% | 1.0d | 2.11% | 0.82% | 32 → 1 | |
| at post · 432.4899 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 431.2705 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 1.6% | 3h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 61% ±32 | 28% ±17 | 31% ±18 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 47% ±13 | 62% ±32 | 75% ±49 | 75% | 18h | 2.37% | 1.62% | 53 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 432.4899 | 453.3241 | 425.0955 | expired | -0.25% |