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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-07 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+14.5%) | 13 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 3% ±13 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 6% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+11.6%) | 11 | 5.7% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 33× | 4% ±19 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±25 | 8% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 469.7908 (+8.9%) | 8.1 | 2.0% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 5% ±14 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±14 | 11% ±35 | 32% | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 454.4117 (+5.3%) | 4.8 | 5.3% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 12% ±24 | 26% ±18 | 19% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 24 | 2% ±5 | 12% ±24 | 27% ±62 | 48% | > 7d | 1.32% | 2.20% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL | 447.101–448.938 (+3.6%) | 3.3 | 4.8% | 8h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 19% ±18 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±18 | 41% ±39 | 58% ±56 | 6.2d | 2.05% | 1.36% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 436.0172–436.0197 (+1.1%) | 1.0 | 2.6% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 65% ±24 | 32% ±14 | 36% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 41 | 53% ±10 | 65% ±24 | 82% ±34 | 85% ±50 | 7h | 2.02% | 1.33% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 431.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 429.962 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.2% | 2h | 12.3d ago · 79× | 78% ±24 | 27% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 42 | 53% ±11 | 78% ±24 | 86% ±34 | 88% ±45 | 3h | 2.10% | 0.91% | 74 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 431.42 | 429.962 | 447.101 | target | -1.02% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 431.42 | 397.6464 | 454.4117 | expired | -1.02% |