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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-13 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+9.9%) | 10 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 2% ±8 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 5% ±25 | 17% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+7.1%) | 7.3 | 5.4% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 2% ±10 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 4% ±22 | 16% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 450.9055 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.2% | 6h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 58% ±31 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 45% ±12 | 58% ±29 | 66% ±46 | 69% ±64 | 18h | 2.11% | 1.06% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 449.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 446.8162–448.938 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.1% | 5h | 7.3d ago · 53× | 71% ±28 | 28% ±16 | 40% ±18 | 32% ±17 | 29 | 50% ±13 | 71% ±28 | 81% ±44 | 85% | 8h | 2.33% | 1.10% | 60 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 435.89–435.9291 (-3.0%) | 3.1 | 3.6% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 78× | 27% ±24 | 26% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 13% ±7 | 26% ±23 | 43% ±43 | 58% ±68 | 4.0d | 2.23% | 1.45% | 81 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 428.5559–430.0522 (-4.3%) | 4.4 | 1.8% | 2h | 8.5d ago · 79× | 11% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 33% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 31% ±34 | 48% ±57 | 6.9d | 2.32% | 1.19% | 123 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 449.37 | 435.9291 | 454.6591 | target | +2.95% |