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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-17 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 437.5032 (+9.0%) | 6.5 | 5.6% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 4% ±8 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 9% ±21 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 427.8492–428.0508 (+6.6%) | 4.8 | 5.6% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 8% ±12 | 39% ±15 | 40% ±15 | 21% ±12 | 42 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 22% ±31 | 39% ±55 | > 7d | 2.08% | 1.07% | 127 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 423.7759–424.1989 (+5.6%) | 4.0 | 11.2% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 16% ±21 | 35% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 34% ±13 | 49 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±21 | 36% ±47 | 62% ±67 | 3.9d | 1.68% | 1.18% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 420.4838 (+4.8%) | 3.4 | 10.5% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 19% ±21 | 29% ±16 | 26% ±15 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±21 | 41% ±43 | 66% ±66 | 4.8d | 1.33% | 1.68% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 416.0865–427.7683 (+3.7%) | 2.7 | 6.5% | 9h | 5.6d ago · 61× | 26% ±26 | 27% ±17 | 37% ±18 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 6% ±6 | 26% ±26 | 36% ±47 | 54% ±69 | 7.0d | 1.64% | 1.27% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 415.098 (+3.4%) | 2.5 | 5.6% | 8h | 6.6d ago · 52× | 38% ±42 | 19% ±15 | 48% ±19 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 9% ±10 | 37% ±42 | 91% ±40 | 97% | 1.8d | 1.82% | 1.18% | 30 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 411.5436 (+2.5%) | 1.8 | 3.5% | 4h | 7.5d ago · 30× | 43% ±40 | 28% ±23 | 50% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 15 | 14% ±12 | 43% ±40 | 71% ±63 | 89% | 1.1d | 1.70% | 1.34% | 33 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 407.5467 (+1.6%) | 1.1 | 2.5% | 3h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 60% ±34 | 18% ±15 | 43% ±19 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 36% ±14 | 60% ±34 | 85% ±40 | 89% | 20h | 1.47% | 1.90% | 45 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 401.8087–403.1067 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 2h | 15.4d ago · 46× | 81% ±34 | 18% ±17 | 32% ±21 | 50% ±22 | 19 | 63% ±17 | 81% ±34 | 88% ±46 | 97% | 1h | 1.96% | 1.60% | 30 → 1 | |
| at post · 401.325 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 401.325 | 388.5738 | 423.7759 | expired | -2.98% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 401.325 | 380.821 | 420.4838 | expired | -2.98% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 401.325 | 375.3654 | 424.1989 | expired | -2.98% |