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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-23 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 428.9303 (+6.3%) | 6.0 | 1.6% | 1h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 4% ±8 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 9% ±21 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 132 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 420.5929–422.3724 (+4.3%) | 4.1 | 7.5% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 52× | 11% ±13 | 39% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 29% ±16 | 33 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 22% ±29 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | 1.83% | 0.96% | 139 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 414.2776 (+2.7%) | 2.6 | 6.6% | 9h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 21% ±16 | 37% ±14 | 46% ±15 | 17% ±11 | 43 | 6% ±4 | 21% ±16 | 39% ±34 | 50% ±49 | > 7d | 2.08% | 1.12% | 152 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 410.426–410.7244 (+1.7%) | 1.7 | 7.5% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 37% ±24 | 33% ±13 | 32% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 17% ±8 | 37% ±24 | 58% ±43 | 71% ±63 | 3.3d | 1.68% | 1.22% | 87 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 408.8056–415.1305 (+1.3%) | 1.3 | 5.5% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 61× | 58% ±27 | 27% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 23% ±10 | 58% ±27 | 69% ±45 | 72% ±62 | 1.0d | 1.86% | 1.09% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 405.1692–407.066 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 4h | 5.5d ago · 52× | 69% ±30 | 18% ±14 | 47% ±18 | 35% ±17 | 30 | 51% ±13 | 69% ±30 | 92% ±30 | 94% | 4h | 1.58% | 1.52% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 403.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 401.9057 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 1.8% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 63% ±27 | 34% ±16 | 37% ±17 | 29% ±16 | 32 | 41% ±11 | 63% ±27 | 71% ±44 | 77% ±59 | 18h | 2.60% | 0.81% | 71 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 403.38 | 396.1684 | 410.426 | target | -1.01% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 403.38 | 386.1768 | 410.7244 | expired | -1.01% |