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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-25 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 428.14 (+3.2%) | 2.9 | 2.2% | 3h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 15% ±18 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±17 | 29% ±40 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 93 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 427.6126–430.2496 (+3.1%) | 2.8 | 2.8% | 4h | 15.2d ago · 46× | 26% ±39 | 17% ±17 | 30% ±20 | 52% ±22 | 20 | 12% ±11 | 26% ±39 | 50% ±69 | 71% | 3.0d | 1.86% | 1.76% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 419.7759 (+1.2%) | 1.1 | 7.5% | 12h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 50% ±22 | 44% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 25% ±15 | 33 | 31% ±9 | 50% ±22 | 63% ±39 | 66% ±53 | 1.1d | 2.11% | 0.90% | 111 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 418.647–424.4483 (+0.9%) | 0.8 | 6.5% | 10h | 5.4d ago · 61× | 68% ±25 | 27% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 38% ±11 | 69% ±25 | 76% ±42 | 80% ±55 | 18h | 1.86% | 1.09% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 415.08 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 6.6% | 10h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 64% ±26 | 37% ±14 | 46% ±15 | 17% ±11 | 43 | 49% ±11 | 64% ±26 | 74% ±43 | 83% ±52 | 18h | 2.08% | 1.12% | 79 → 2 | |
| at post · 414.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 410.2832–410.4775 (-1.0%) | 0.9 | 8.1% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 78× | 65% ±20 | 30% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 49 | 47% ±9 | 65% ±20 | 76% ±31 | 91% ±33 | 14h | 1.99% | 1.26% | 123 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 400.7157–403.245 (-2.8%) | 2.5 | 3.5% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 79× | 22% ±17 | 27% ±12 | 39% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 53 | 7% ±4 | 22% ±17 | 46% ±37 | 70% ±52 | 3.6d | 2.08% | 1.08% | 133 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 400.1883–401.7705 (-3.1%) | 2.8 | 2.5% | 3h | 12.4d ago · 36× | 8% ±17 | 20% ±23 | 27% ±25 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±6 | 8% ±17 | 13% ±38 | 38% | > 7d | 2.16% | 2.66% | 51 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 414.83 | 415.08 | 403.245 | target | -1.69% |
| 14d | POC | long | 414.83 | 419.7759 | 402.478 | expired | -1.69% |
| 30d | POC | long | 414.83 | 428.14 | 400.7157 | expired | -1.69% |