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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-04 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 422.084 (+3.5%) | 2.7 | 6.0% | 9h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 16% ±18 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±18 | 29% ±40 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 416.1472 (+2.1%) | 1.6 | 7.8% | 14h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 35% ±21 | 47% ±17 | 29% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 35 | 20% ±7 | 35% ±21 | 52% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 3.0d | 2.25% | 0.78% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D POC | 409.6012–410.3821 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 10.0% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 68× | 59% ±22 | 32% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 31% ±14 | 44 | 43% ±9 | 59% ±22 | 69% ±37 | 79% ±46 | 19h | 1.70% | 1.21% | 113 → 3 | |
| at post · 407.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 403.2325–403.742 (-1.0%) | 0.7 | 7.3% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 69× | 76% ±21 | 34% ±14 | 34% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 44 | 58% ±10 | 76% ±21 | 85% ±31 | 89% ±44 | 2h | 2.05% | 1.09% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 401.6812 (-1.5%) | 1.1 | 6.8% | 10h | 6.4d ago · 78× | 64% ±21 | 32% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 40% ±14 | 50 | 42% ±9 | 64% ±21 | 77% ±31 | 94% ±27 | 18h | 2.18% | 1.67% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 398.1375–398.6772 (-2.2%) | 1.7 | 5.9% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 36% ±23 | 28% ±13 | 39% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 43 | 17% ±7 | 36% ±23 | 53% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 2.9d | 2.18% | 1.14% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 391.5256 (-4.0%) | 3.0 | 3.8% | 4h | 12.2d ago · 79× | 22% ±17 | 25% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 34% ±12 | 56 | 8% ±4 | 23% ±17 | 46% ±35 | 68% ±53 | 4.0d | 1.89% | 0.90% | 144 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 407.67 | 410.2248 | 391.5256 | expired | -0.99% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 407.67 | 410.3821 | 395.5326 | expired | -0.99% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 407.67 | 409.6012 | 393.8271 | expired | -0.99% |