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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-05 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 419.5365 (+4.1%) | 2.9 | 5.9% | 11h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 14% ±17 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±16 | 27% ±36 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 101 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 412.3038 (+2.3%) | 1.6 | 9.3% | 15h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 34% ±21 | 47% ±17 | 29% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 35 | 19% ±7 | 34% ±20 | 50% ±37 | 56% ±56 | 3.0d | 2.25% | 0.78% | 124 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 404.951–409.1491 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 12.7% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 81× | 58% ±20 | 34% ±12 | 35% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 42% ±8 | 58% ±20 | 69% ±32 | 78% ±47 | 17h | 1.74% | 1.17% | 146 → 3 | |
| at post · 403.1501 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 396.2314–398.1375 (-1.2%) | 0.9 | 5.4% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 79× | 60% ±20 | 26% ±11 | 39% ±13 | 35% ±12 | 57 | 34% ±8 | 59% ±19 | 71% ±32 | 81% ±38 | 22h | 2.05% | 1.08% | 148 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 403.1501 | 396.6748 | 409.1491 | target | +1.06% |
| 14d | POC | short | 403.1501 | 396.2314 | 412.3038 | target | +1.06% |