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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-06 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 418.008 (+5.2%) | 3.8 | 4.5% | 8h | 5.1d ago · 39× | 8% ±11 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 18% ±26 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 138 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 410.5568 (+3.3%) | 2.4 | 9.6% | 17h | 19.3d ago · 52× | 23% ±18 | 47% ±17 | 29% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 35 | 10% ±5 | 22% ±17 | 38% ±34 | 47% ±56 | > 7d | 2.25% | 0.78% | 136 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 404.7886–407.4589 (+1.9%) | 1.4 | 12.6% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 81× | 37% ±19 | 33% ±12 | 36% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 20% ±6 | 37% ±18 | 54% ±33 | 66% ±46 | 2.9d | 1.76% | 1.16% | 160 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 401.704–411.894 (+1.1%) | 0.8 | 9.1% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 61× | 66% ±24 | 32% ±15 | 39% ±16 | 29% ±15 | 35 | 37% ±10 | 66% ±24 | 77% ±37 | 80% ±55 | 19h | 2.09% | 0.93% | 90 → 2 | |
| at post · 397.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 395.1832–396.609 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 5.5% | 6h | 7.1d ago · 79× | 72% ±20 | 26% ±11 | 39% ±13 | 35% ±12 | 57 | 48% ±9 | 72% ±20 | 81% ±31 | 86% ±39 | 10h | 2.05% | 1.08% | 114 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 397.31 | 395.3846 | 407.4589 | expired | +0.19% |
| 14d | POC | short | 397.31 | 395.1832 | 410.5568 | expired | +0.19% |
| 30d | POC | short | 397.31 | 396.609 | 418.008 | target | +0.19% |