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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-09 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 417.1175 (+8.8%) | 6.5 | 5.2% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 40× | 3% ±7 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 7% ±17 | 17% ±36 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 159 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 404.9587–407.8792 (+5.6%) | 4.2 | 11.4% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 68× | 11% ±12 | 36% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 46 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 26% ±29 | 44% ±49 | 4.8d | 1.87% | 1.05% | 157 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 401.4066 (+4.7%) | 3.5 | 8.8% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 82× | 24% ±21 | 36% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 3% ±4 | 24% ±21 | 47% ±44 | 72% ±62 | 3.1d | 1.83% | 1.12% | 87 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 398.4345–411.073 (+3.9%) | 2.9 | 7.1% | 9h | 5.8d ago · 61× | 32% ±25 | 31% ±15 | 41% ±16 | 28% ±15 | 36 | 6% ±6 | 32% ±25 | 40% ±48 | 56% ±69 | 6.8d | 1.86% | 0.92% | 76 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 393.8608–394.588 (+2.7%) | 2.0 | 4.1% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 49% ±37 | 20% ±14 | 45% ±17 | 35% ±17 | 32 | 16% ±11 | 49% ±37 | 81% ±54 | 95% | 1.1d | 1.40% | 1.55% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 383.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 383.48 | 370.4145 | 401.4066 | stop | -4.62% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 383.48 | 369.4616 | 404.9587 | stop | -4.62% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 383.48 | 360.9505 | 405.3032 | stop | -4.62% |