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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 416.568 (+2.0%) | 1.7 | 4.9% | 10h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 26% ±25 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 9% ±7 | 26% ±25 | 40% ±48 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 409.3048 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 8.2% | 14h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 62% ±27 | 47% ±17 | 29% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 35 | 42% ±11 | 62% ±26 | 66% ±46 | 69% ±64 | 18h | 2.25% | 0.78% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 408.215 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 407.9847 (-0.1%) | 0.0 | 8.8% | 13h | 13.4d ago · 53× | 85% ±23 | 25% ±15 | 42% ±17 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 65% ±13 | 85% ±23 | 96% ±21 | 96% | 1h | 1.68% | 1.27% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 403.6547 (-1.1%) | 0.9 | 11.3% | 15h | 6.4d ago · 45× | 56% ±26 | 35% ±17 | 29% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 36% ±10 | 56% ±26 | 70% ±40 | 84% ±50 | 22h | 1.71% | 1.31% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 400.7884–400.8138 (-1.8%) | 1.5 | 9.8% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 78× | 56% ±24 | 26% ±12 | 35% ±13 | 39% ±13 | 53 | 31% ±9 | 55% ±24 | 70% ±40 | 88% ±45 | 23h | 1.95% | 1.43% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 394.4464–396.0916 (-3.0%) | 2.4 | 4.8% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 79× | 27% ±17 | 25% ±11 | 40% ±13 | 34% ±12 | 58 | 8% ±4 | 26% ±17 | 50% ±35 | 73% ±43 | 3.2d | 2.00% | 1.05% | 150 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 408.215 | 420.1082 | 400.8138 | stop | -2.04% |