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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-16 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 410.9944 (+2.2%) | 1.9 | 6.7% | 13h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 20% ±23 | 21% ±17 | 38% ±21 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 7% ±6 | 20% ±23 | 36% ±47 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.40% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 406.1269–408.4743 (+0.9%) | 0.9 | 12.1% | 15h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 42% ±19 | 38% ±14 | 39% ±14 | 23% ±12 | 48 | 25% ±7 | 42% ±19 | 54% ±33 | 67% ±46 | 2.5d | 2.01% | 1.05% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 402.3209 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 399.4159–400.1143 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 10.7% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 78× | 76% ±19 | 26% ±12 | 34% ±13 | 40% ±13 | 54 | 52% ±9 | 76% ±19 | 83% ±28 | 94% ±27 | 11h | 1.93% | 1.43% | 119 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 393.9928–394.6396 (-1.9%) | 1.7 | 6.1% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 79× | 39% ±19 | 24% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 34% ±12 | 60 | 17% ±6 | 39% ±19 | 58% ±34 | 79% ±46 | 2.2d | 1.96% | 1.10% | 145 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 402.3209 | 399.4159 | 391.7606 | target | -1.22% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 402.3209 | 400.1143 | 391.5372 | target | -1.22% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 402.3209 | 406.1269 | 391.6957 | expired | -1.22% |