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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-17 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,771 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.197, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0022), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.35) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 410.605 (+3.3%) | 3.4 | 6.1% | 12h | 5.0d ago · 39× | 10% ±12 | 21% ±17 | 38% ±21 | 42% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±12 | 19% ±29 | 33% ±53 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.40% | 133 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 404.2222–407.6349 (+1.7%) | 1.7 | 9.5% | 12h | 5.2d ago · 68× | 24% ±16 | 38% ±14 | 39% ±14 | 23% ±12 | 48 | 9% ±4 | 24% ±16 | 39% ±32 | 54% ±49 | 3.0d | 2.01% | 1.05% | 165 → 4 | |
| 14D POC | 398.3653 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 9.5% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 64% ±25 | 26% ±14 | 33% ±15 | 42% ±15 | 40 | 49% ±11 | 64% ±25 | 70% ±40 | 81% ±54 | 5h | 1.61% | 1.27% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 397.395 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D VAL · 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 392.8573–396.4253 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 8.1% | 10h | 6.2d ago · 79× | 67% ±18 | 26% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 36% ±12 | 60 | 43% ±8 | 68% ±18 | 79% ±27 | 87% ±33 | 16h | 2.01% | 1.26% | 161 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 397.395 | 404.2222 | 392.8573 | expired | +0.12% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 397.395 | 406.1269 | 391.7658 | expired | +0.12% |