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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-13 12:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,472 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,698.91 (+5.2%) | 24 | 0.4% | 2h | 5.0d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 9% ±14 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 683 → 16 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+3.5%) | 16 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 67× | 2% ±2 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±7 | 17% ±17 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 803 → 19 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,948.57 (+2.9%) | 13 | 1.8% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±11 | 25% ±21 | > 7d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 687 → 16 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,202.29–77,234.16 (+0.6%) | 2.9 | 2.3% | 1.2d | 6.1d ago · 116× | 39% ±11 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 147 | 9% ±3 | 39% ±11 | 69% ±18 | 80% ±24 | 1.4d | 1.40% | 0.95% | 443 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,754.2 (+0.0%) | 0.2 | 1.0% | 6h | 20.3d ago · 50× | 81% ±20 | 41% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 55 | 70% ±9 | 81% ±20 | 88% ±28 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 1.51% | 1.34% | 92 → 2 | |
| at post · 76,725.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 76,589.95 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 0.7% | 3h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 78% ±10 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 121 | 52% ±5 | 78% ±10 | 89% ±13 | 91% ±19 | 4h | 1.47% | 1.25% | 396 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,343.22 (-0.5%) | 2.3 | 0.3% | 57m | 19.6d ago · 37× | 49% ±16 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 19% ±5 | 49% ±16 | 66% ±26 | 74% ±39 | 1.1d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 225 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-3.1%) | 14 | <0.1% | 14m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±8 | 11% ±22 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 325 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 64,266.07–64,464.06 (-16.0%) | 74 | 0.4% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 98× | 4% ±18 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 3% | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 30 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.