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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,524.16–2,530.34 (+1.6%) | 2.9 | 2.2% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 41% ±9 | 52% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 117 | 10% ±2 | 41% ±9 | 62% ±15 | 79% ±19 | 1.5d | 2.17% | 1.41% | 736 → 18 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,486.45–2,491.32 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 3.3d ago · 103× | 89% ±7 | 42% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 139 | 73% ±4 | 89% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±12 | 1h | 1.96% | 1.34% | 432 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,483.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,450.61 (-1.3%) | 2.3 | 3.9% | 1.8d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 44% ±10 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 15% ±3 | 44% ±10 | 67% ±16 | 75% ±23 | 1.3d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 590 → 14 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-2.2%) | 3.8 | 2.5% | 17h | 4.4d ago · 58× | 25% ±8 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 5% ±2 | 25% ±8 | 46% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 3.6d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 702 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,378.72 (-4.2%) | 7.3 | 1.3% | 6h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 6% ±4 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±4 | 20% ±11 | 33% ±21 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 850 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 2,131.35–2,211.15 (-11.0%) | 19 | <0.1% | 3m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 432 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 1,883.97–1,915.89 (-22.8%) | 40 | 1.0% | 13h | 1.9d ago · 84× | 1% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 125 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.