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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,530.34 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 18.5d ago · 44× | 91% ±12 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 72% ±8 | 91% ±12 | 95% ±15 | 98% ±17 | 1h | 1.82% | 1.47% | 135 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,528.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,526.1–2,526.78 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 18h | 1.8d ago · 64× | 88% ±13 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 76 | 74% ±7 | 88% ±13 | 92% ±20 | 93% ±28 | 1h | 1.87% | 1.96% | 133 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,509.01–2,509.71 (-0.7%) | 1.0 | 6.0% | 2.0d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 81% ±8 | 50% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 39% ±8 | 157 | 60% ±4 | 81% ±8 | 90% ±11 | 93% ±13 | 2h | 1.98% | 1.37% | 534 → 13 | |
| 30D POC | 2,494.43 (-1.3%) | 1.9 | 6.1% | 2.1d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 60% ±15 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 24% ±5 | 61% ±15 | 78% ±22 | 85% ±28 | 16h | 2.11% | 1.11% | 249 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,450.61 (-3.1%) | 4.4 | 4.8% | 2.2d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 25% ±7 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 4% ±1 | 25% ±7 | 48% ±13 | 61% ±20 | 3.5d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 990 → 24 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,435.95 (-3.6%) | 5.2 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 16% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 61% ±20 | 4.6d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 905 → 22 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,378.72 (-5.9%) | 8.5 | 1.6% | 7h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 5% ±3 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 943 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 2,131.35–2,211.15 (-12.5%) | 18 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 0% ±1 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 6% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 482 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 1,891.95–1,915.89 (-24.2%) | 35 | 1.2% | 16h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±3 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 146 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.