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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-14 16:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,727.49 (+1.1%) | 3.9 | 4.7% | 6h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 9% ±8 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 24% ±22 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 266 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,696.68 (+0.7%) | 2.5 | 6.8% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 22% ±13 | 32% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 81 | 5% ±3 | 22% ±13 | 40% ±27 | 66% ±41 | 4.0d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 228 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,666.84–7,671.68 (+0.4%) | 1.2 | 13.9% | 21h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 49% ±16 | 28% ±9 | 39% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 98 | 29% ±6 | 49% ±16 | 64% ±26 | 78% ±33 | 1.7d | 0.42% | 0.23% | 234 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 7,651.67–7,687.48 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 6.3% | 9h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 70% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 81 | 52% ±7 | 70% ±16 | 80% ±25 | 86% ±34 | 3h | 0.54% | 0.36% | 182 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,641.14 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.2% | 8h | 5.7d ago · 32× | 81% ±29 | 31% ±16 | 26% ±15 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 63% ±15 | 81% ±29 | 88% ±44 | 93% | 2h | 0.58% | 0.59% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,639.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,609.55–7,622.18 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 1.6% | 2h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 66% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 69 | 52% ±8 | 66% ±19 | 76% ±30 | 89% ±31 | 3h | 0.51% | 0.38% | 152 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 7D VAL | 7,585.57–7,599.5 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 3.6% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 75× | 31% ±15 | 25% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 39% ±10 | 91 | 13% ±5 | 31% ±15 | 53% ±28 | 75% ±38 | 3.1d | 0.51% | 0.40% | 212 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.