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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 04:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,534.67–2,538.32 (+1.8%) | 2.2 | 2.1% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 50% ±10 | 52% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 117 | 17% ±3 | 51% ±10 | 69% ±16 | 84% ±20 | 1.0d | 2.17% | 1.41% | 545 → 13 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,509.01–2,509.71 (+0.8%) | 1.0 | 7.2% | 2.4d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 85% ±8 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 65% ±4 | 85% ±8 | 91% ±10 | 95% ±13 | 2h | 2.03% | 1.38% | 503 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,494.43 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 7.1% | 2.5d | 3.4d ago · 66× | 88% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 49% ±11 | 81 | 75% ±6 | 88% ±11 | 94% ±13 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 1.64% | 1.25% | 209 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,489.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,450.61 (-1.6%) | 1.9 | 5.5% | 2.5d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 51% ±11 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 23% ±4 | 51% ±11 | 71% ±17 | 79% ±23 | 22h | 2.27% | 1.31% | 486 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,435.95 (-2.1%) | 2.6 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 31% ±10 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 9% ±2 | 31% ±10 | 53% ±18 | 68% ±26 | 2.7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 514 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,386.7 (-4.1%) | 5.0 | 2.4% | 13h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 13% ±6 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 30% ±15 | 41% ±25 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 633 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 2,131.35–2,211.15 (-11.2%) | 14 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 593 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,891.95–1,915.89 (-23.0%) | 28 | 1.4% | 19h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 0% ±2 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 5% ±13 | 5% ±20 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 209 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.