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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 12:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,534.67–2,538.32 (+2.3%) | 2.8 | 2.0% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 44% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 118 | 12% ±2 | 44% ±9 | 65% ±15 | 81% ±19 | 1.3d | 2.15% | 1.43% | 722 → 17 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,509.01–2,509.71 (+1.3%) | 1.5 | 7.1% | 2.4d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 69% ±11 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 35% ±5 | 68% ±11 | 83% ±16 | 89% ±21 | 9h | 2.03% | 1.38% | 397 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 2,486.45 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 6.6% | 2.3d | 3.4d ago · 66× | 87% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 49% ±11 | 81 | 71% ±6 | 87% ±11 | 94% ±13 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 1.64% | 1.25% | 233 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,477.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,450.61 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 5.4% | 2.5d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 64% ±11 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 37% ±4 | 63% ±11 | 79% ±16 | 85% ±21 | 9h | 2.27% | 1.31% | 448 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,435.95 (-1.7%) | 2.1 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 4.3d ago · 58× | 40% ±12 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 15% ±4 | 39% ±12 | 58% ±21 | 72% ±29 | 2.1d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 392 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,386.7 (-3.7%) | 4.5 | 2.3% | 12h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 17% ±8 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 3% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 34% ±17 | 44% ±27 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 561 → 13 | |
| LVN zone | 2,131.35–2,211.15 (-10.8%) | 13 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 8% ±14 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 601 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,891.95–1,915.89 (-22.7%) | 28 | 1.3% | 19h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 0% ±2 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 5% ±13 | 5% ±20 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 213 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.