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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-15 20:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,530.36–2,539.31 (+5.1%) | 4.9 | 3.1% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 22% ±6 | 53% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 118 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±6 | 42% ±13 | 62% ±19 | 4.1d | 2.15% | 1.43% | 1051 → 25 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,509.01–2,513.05 (+4.2%) | 4.0 | 8.4% | 2.9d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 25% ±9 | 42% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 140 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±9 | 46% ±19 | 60% ±28 | 4.1d | 2.03% | 1.38% | 487 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,486.47 (+3.3%) | 3.1 | 8.1% | 2.9d | 3.4d ago · 66× | 37% ±14 | 39% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 49% ±11 | 81 | 9% ±3 | 37% ±14 | 60% ±25 | 74% ±32 | 1.9d | 1.64% | 1.25% | 273 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,429.73–2,431.16 (+0.9%) | 0.9 | 4.7% | 1.4d | 4.3d ago · 56× | 83% ±13 | 43% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 47% ±12 | 70 | 61% ±7 | 83% ±12 | 87% ±19 | 90% ±27 | 2h | 1.81% | 1.69% | 207 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,407 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,386.74 (-0.8%) | 0.8 | 3.0% | 16h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 74% ±18 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 49% ±8 | 74% ±17 | 81% ±27 | 83% ±42 | 5h | 2.94% | 1.38% | 142 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 2,131.41–2,211.2 (-8.1%) | 7.8 | 0.1% | 6m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 6% ±5 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 15% ±13 | 23% ±24 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 493 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 1,900.02–1,915.97 (-20.4%) | 19 | 1.6% | 22h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 2% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 282 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.