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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-16 16:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,727.75 (+1.5%) | 6.6 | 3.4% | 5h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 3% ±5 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 7% ±14 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 219 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,681.29 (+0.9%) | 4.0 | 8.7% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 9% ±9 | 32% ±10 | 39% ±11 | 29% ±10 | 81 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 23% ±22 | 50% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.44% | 0.19% | 255 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 7,669.1 (+0.8%) | 3.3 | 11.1% | 19h | 4.8d ago · 46× | 11% ±12 | 27% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 32% ±13 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±12 | 26% ±29 | 53% ±49 | 6.9d | 0.47% | 0.25% | 160 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,654.19–7,687.99 (+0.6%) | 2.5 | 5.0% | 8h | 4.8d ago · 65× | 36% ±18 | 31% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 81 | 8% ±4 | 36% ±18 | 49% ±33 | 71% ±45 | 3.1d | 0.54% | 0.36% | 159 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH | 7,632.33–7,638.42 (+0.3%) | 1.2 | 5.3% | 6h | 4.6d ago · 71× | 44% ±16 | 27% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 35% ±9 | 98 | 22% ±6 | 44% ±16 | 61% ±28 | 76% ±38 | 2.3d | 0.43% | 0.30% | 216 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,612.45–7,622.39 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.0% | 4h | 20.6d ago · 30× | 85% ±25 | 32% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 65% ±16 | 34 | 59% ±13 | 85% ±23 | 94% ±26 | 98% | 1h | 0.52% | 0.50% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,610.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 7,596.54–7,602.51 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.8% | 4h | 13.7d ago · 54× | 74% ±19 | 29% ±11 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 70 | 58% ±9 | 74% ±19 | 80% ±30 | 91% ±33 | 2h | 0.49% | 0.38% | 128 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 7,587.82–7,588.34 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 4.7% | 5h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 56% ±18 | 25% ±9 | 38% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 92 | 36% ±7 | 56% ±18 | 77% ±26 | 87% ±33 | 22h | 0.44% | 0.29% | 178 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 7,575.82–7,576.37 (-0.4%) | 1.9 | 2.1% | 2h | 6.5d ago · 67× | 37% ±17 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 84 | 16% ±5 | 37% ±18 | 52% ±31 | 73% ±44 | 3.0d | 0.54% | 0.48% | 176 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.